Monday, December 26, 2011

2011 Prediction Score Card: 70%+

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A wise man once said, "Making predictions is always a bit of risky business." Oh, wait! That was me last year, making my "Predictions for 2011"

Looking back, it was a mixed bag. The most glaringly obvious miss to me was this:

Hillary will undoubtedly resign as Sec State in 2011.


If Hillary is going to run, her timetable is different than I expected. Perhaps the wikileaks revelations were too much to overcome. (-1)

The new Republican majority in the House allows Obama to blame all his failures on Republican "obstructionism", which he will (those he's still not blaming on Bush, anyway!). He will use his veto pen repeatedly.


This was a wash. The president did blame Republican obstructionism, even for bills that weren't written yet, but to my knowledge, he hasn't had to veto anything due in large part to Harry Reid still running the Senate. (Net 0)

Look for some kind of rule reform in caucus states like Iowa to prevent lopsided victories such as Obama's in 2008.
To my knowledge it hasn't happened (but should) (-1)

I don't foresee an aggressive rollback of the Obama agenda, which will, nonetheless, anger the right and left respectively, as both too little and too much.


Other than some success (to the nation's detriment) of Obamacare, this was pretty much spot on. (+1)

Let's see if Obama can make it from New Year's Day to the end of February without another vacation. Smart money says "No".


From WhiteHouse.gov: Hawaii Vacation ARRIVAL ESTIMATE: Friday, December 23 (2010)at 6:25PM HST

The trip lasted fourteen days, so...technically, Obama started the year on vacation New Year's day for five days. (+1)
The Tea Party will hold another big rally in Washington in late Spring.
Washington had one in April, I'd call that mid to late Spring. I'm going with a win on this one. (+1)

Obama will be conspicuously absent from Arlington Cemetery on Memorial Day.

I was happy to be wrong on this one. The C-in-C should be at Arlington on Memorial Day. (-1)


Any attempt for Republicans to reform Social Security will be characterized both by Democrats and their media arm, the MSM, as "Republicans want to starve grandma".


Or push her wheelchair off a cliff. Remember this one?

I think that counts as plus one. (+1)

Look for the class envy card to be played a lot in 2011.


Hello? Occupy Wall Street anyone? In addition to the administrations many efforts at class warfare, too numerous to list here, their unwashed fellow travelers (who the administration embraced) bleating about a mythical 1% , fulfilled this predictions in spades. (+1)


Look for fewer press conferences with subsequently fewer opportunities for former presidents to outshine him. (Jimmy Carter will be so upset at the lost opportunity, he will write another book bashing Israel.)
Another wash. Barry managed to hold twenty press conferences without requiring an ex-president at his side, but Jimmy managed to contain his vitriol to press releases and interviews. (Net 0)

Look for Air Force One to be spotted in countries all around the world. At least once or twice, it will be for an official presidential visit.

Dan Rather will finally find a copy of Barry Sotero's "birth certificate" stuck between two pages of GWB's Texas Air National Guard fitness reports.


The Rather one was a joke. The first was true, it was the president who was the joke. (+1)

The Final Four:

Obama will play golf. (frequently)

Joe Biden will say something really stupid.

Al Gore will fly in a private jet, met by a limousine, to speak about how much we need to change our lifestyle, or at least to buy carbon credits from him.

And, last but not least, liberal trolls will still be clueless.


If Charlie Sheen hadn't already appropriated "winning", it would apply to my final four! (+4)

So, we take the five I missed, add them to the twelve I got right, for an 70.58% accuracy on my predictions! Will I do as well this year? Time will tell!

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